Torreense vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torreense v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
Torreense vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Torreense
POR2
Torreense 0-1 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel edged past Torreense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Torreense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Torreense had 63% of the ball to Penafiel's 37%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.45 to 1.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Torreense and 0.50 for Penafiel.
What was the final score of Torreense vs Penafiel?
Torreense 0-1 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torreense vs Penafiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Torreense 43%, draw 25%, Penafiel 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Torreense) went the other way.