Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Dec 2025

Radnik Surdulica
1-0 HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2025/2026

Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radnik Surdulica v Novi Pazar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.31/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.29
-14% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.8 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
246 Passes 253
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
15.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 2-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
20.08.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
06.04.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
07.10.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-1 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
11.04.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-0 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP

Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Novi Pazar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1-0
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.13 xG 0.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
234 Passes 236
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Surdulica nicked a narrow win over Novi Pazar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radnik Surdulica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 50% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 50%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.13 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 1.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 45%, draw 25%, Novi Pazar 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Surdulica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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