OFK Beograd vs Backa Topola Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
OFK Beograd v Backa Topola — Team-Based Signals
OFK Beograd vs Backa Topola Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
OFK Beograd 0-1 Backa Topola — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola squeezed past OFK Beograd 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Backa Topola made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, OFK Beograd had 64% of the ball to Backa Topola's 36%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.59 to 2.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Backa Topola's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, OFK Beograd had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 1.50 for Backa Topola.
What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Backa Topola?
OFK Beograd 0-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Backa Topola?
Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 40%, draw 22%, Backa Topola 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.