Backa Topola vs OFK Beograd Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v OFK Beograd — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs OFK Beograd Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Backa Topola 3-2 OFK Beograd — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola squeezed past OFK Beograd 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Backa Topola had 54% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 46%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.81 to 2.74 — on chances, OFK Beograd could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, OFK Beograd led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Backa Topola and 1.50 for OFK Beograd.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs OFK Beograd?
Backa Topola 3-2 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs OFK Beograd?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 46%, draw 25%, OFK Beograd 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.