Mladost Lucani 0-4 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.21/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.32
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
21.3 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.08 xG 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
226 Passes 499
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
29.09.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-3 HT 1-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
12.05.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
17.03.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
07.10.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
12.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
0-4
AWAY FK Partizan
0.93 xG 3.24
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
235 Passes 596
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan swept aside Mladost Lucani 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 32% of the ball to FK Partizan's 68%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.93 to 3.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mladost Lucani and 2.33 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan?

Mladost Lucani 0-4 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 28%, draw 29%, FK Partizan 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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