Goytre United 0-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major The Market 51%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.22/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.33
+37% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
05.10.2024 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
13.04.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 2-2 HT 1-0 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major GALFAW
06.04.2024 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 0-1 HT 0-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
22.07.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 1-2 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major GALLK
29.04.2023 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
06.12.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 4-3 HT 2-3 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major squeezed past Goytre United 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goytre United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Goytre United and 1.50 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Llantwit Major?

Goytre United 0-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 26%, draw 28%, Llantwit Major 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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