Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Gharafa v Al Ahli — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Gharafa got the better of Al Ahli 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.33 for Al Ahli.
What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
Al Gharafa 2-0 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 47%, draw 22%, Al Ahli 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.