KCB Nairobi 2-4 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Jan 2025

KCB Nairobi
2-4 HT 2-2
Leopards SC
📅22/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

KCB Nairobi vs Leopards SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KCB Nairobi v Leopards SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 33%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.14/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.02
+150% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC got the better of KCB Nairobi 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Leopards SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Leopards SC?

KCB Nairobi 2-4 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 33%, draw 28%, Leopards SC 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leopards SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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