Gor Mahia vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gor Mahia v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals
Gor Mahia vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Gor Mahia
KEN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Sofapaka
KEN2
Gor Mahia 2-0 Sofapaka — Actual Match Statistics
Gor Mahia got the better of Sofapaka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.
On the day, Gor Mahia had 53% of the ball to Sofapaka's 47%, shots finished 10-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.33 for Sofapaka.
What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Sofapaka?
Gor Mahia 2-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Sofapaka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 45%, draw 39%, Sofapaka 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.