Police 3-0 Bandari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
34%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.44
No
66%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.8pp
34%
Away Win
21%
+12.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.3pp
66%
BTTS No
63%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandari EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.69
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +71%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Bandari
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.06.2024 Police Police 0-0 HT 0-0 Bandari Bandari KEN
08.01.2022 Bandari Bandari 0-0 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police
3-0
AWAY Bandari
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Police vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police ran out comfortable winners over Bandari 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Police had 33% of the ball to Bandari's 67%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Police and 0.00 for Bandari.

What was the final score of Police vs Bandari?

Police 3-0 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs Bandari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Police 42%, draw 24%, Bandari 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Police) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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