Club America 2-2 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Feb 2024

Club America
2-2 HT 0-1
Mazatlan
📅22/02/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Club America vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club America v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
2.04/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.89
+17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
426 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
21.2 Crosses 13.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Club America vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Mazatlan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.14 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
406 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
29.01.2023 Club America Club America 6-0 HT 4-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
27.08.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-3 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
17.02.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-1 HT 2-0 Club America Club America MEK
12.09.2021 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
20.03.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK

Club America 2-2 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
2-2
AWAY Mazatlan
2.44 xG 1.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
474 Passes 316
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club America vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America and Mazatlan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Club America carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Club America had 58% of the ball to Mazatlan's 42%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.44 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Club America and 0.67 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Club America vs Mazatlan?

Club America 2-2 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Club America 60%, draw 23%, Mazatlan 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Club America), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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