Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toluca v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Toluca
MEK
0-5
HT 0-2
Toluca
MEK
1-2
HT 0-0
Toluca
MEK
4-3
HT 2-2
Santos Laguna
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
3-1
HT 1-1
Santos Laguna
MEK
Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca nicked a narrow win over Santos Laguna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Toluca had 49% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 51%, shots finished 6-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Toluca and 1.50 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Toluca 57%, draw 24%, Santos Laguna 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.