Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-2 Aqaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.8pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghayer Al Sarhan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Aqaba EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
0.77/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.12
-50% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghayer Al Sarhan
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Aqaba
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2024 Aqaba Aqaba 0-1 HT 0-1 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
28.03.2024 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-2 HT 1-1 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
25.08.2023 Aqaba Aqaba 2-4 HT 1-0 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
27.08.2022 Aqaba Aqaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
29.04.2022 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-1 HT 0-1 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moghayer Al Sarhan
1-2
AWAY Aqaba
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aqaba squeezed past Moghayer Al Sarhan 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Aqaba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Moghayer Al Sarhan had 53% of the ball to Aqaba's 47%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Moghayer Al Sarhan and 1.20 for Aqaba.

What was the final score of Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba?

Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-2 Aqaba in the Jordan - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moghayer Al Sarhan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Moghayer Al Sarhan 37%, draw 28%, Aqaba 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Moghayer Al Sarhan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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