Ayr United 1-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.67
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.89
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
12%
3.9
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
13%
4.67
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.52/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.33
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 63%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 5.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Livingston
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
21.12.2024 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
19.10.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 Livingston Livingston İKCL
19.08.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
28.11.2020 Livingston Livingston 4-0 HT 4-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
16.07.2019 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
26.07.2016 Livingston Livingston 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
FAQ Ayr United vs Livingston
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Livingston edged past Ayr United 2-1 away from home in the Scotland - Championship on 22 Feb 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ayr United and 1.67 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Livingston?

Ayr United 1-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 40%, draw 28%, Livingston 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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