Livingston 0-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 21 Dec 2024

Livingston
0-1 HT 0-1
Ayr United
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Livingston vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.26
6+ Goals
7%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 36% vs market 32.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
14%
4.25
X/2
11%
6.83
X/X
15%
4.29
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.59
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.50/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.63
-3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
271 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 2.0
– Yellow Cards –

Livingston vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 Livingston Livingston İKCL
19.08.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
28.11.2020 Livingston Livingston 4-0 HT 4-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
16.07.2019 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
26.07.2016 Livingston Livingston 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
14.04.2012 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
FAQ Livingston vs Ayr United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ayr United edged past Livingston 1-0 away from home in the Scotland - Championship on 21 Dec 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Livingston and 0.83 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Ayr United?

Livingston 0-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Livingston 46%, draw 28%, Ayr United 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Livingston) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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