Falkirk 1-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.41
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
25.0
X/1
17%
3.56
X/2
6%
23.85
X/X
9%
9.37
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
6%
17.5
2/X
5%
24.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.45/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.63
+21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hamilton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
18.10.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 0-3 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
17.02.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 3-2 HT 3-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
16.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 1-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
07.10.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
17.07.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
18.05.2014 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk nicked a narrow win over Hamilton 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Falkirk and 1.17 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Hamilton?

Falkirk 1-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 64%, draw 20%, Hamilton 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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