Greenock Morton 2-0 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 39% vs market 37.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
14%
5.91
X/2
8%
4.86
X/X
17%
3.7
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.61
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.2pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.19/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.11
+7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses 4.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.33 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
149 Passes 455
55% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 0
19.10.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
23.03.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
03.02.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-5 HT 0-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
03.11.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 0-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
23.09.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
18.03.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton saw off Dunfermline Athletic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Greenock Morton made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.17 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Greenock Morton 2-0 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 37%, draw 32%, Dunfermline Athletic 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenock Morton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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