Shrewsbury 0-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.66
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.32
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.6
X/1
14%
5.44
X/2
11%
5.27
X/X
17%
3.44
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.13
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.07/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.25
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.7 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stevenage
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.32 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
169 Passes 185
56% Pass Accuracy 57%
9 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
13.01.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
12.08.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 2-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
24.01.2015 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-2 HT 2-2 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
13.09.2014 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
05.04.2014 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-1
AWAY Stevenage
1.60 xG 0.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
195 Passes 205
59% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage squeezed past Shrewsbury 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Stevenage found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 51% of the ball to Stevenage's 49%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.60 to 0.63 — on chances, Shrewsbury could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.17 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Stevenage?

Shrewsbury 0-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shrewsbury win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 33%, draw 33%, Stevenage 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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