AFC Telford United 3-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.93/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.72
+12% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Leiston
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2024 Leiston Leiston 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
13.01.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
13.10.2020 Leiston Leiston 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United FAK
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United saw off Leiston 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for AFC Telford United and 0.50 for Leiston.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Leiston?

AFC Telford United 3-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 44%, draw 26%, Leiston 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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