Lancaster City 1-3 Macclesfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 62%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.61/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.05
-49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Macclesfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
8 Corners 8
02.11.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 5-1 HT 2-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
06.01.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
22.08.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-0 HT 1-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Macclesfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield beat Lancaster City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lancaster City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lancaster City and 2.00 for Macclesfield.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Macclesfield?

Lancaster City 1-3 Macclesfield in the England - Non League Premier on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Macclesfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 22%, draw 26%, Macclesfield 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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