AFC Sudbury 1-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.37/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.63
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Barwell
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Barwell Barwell 3-1 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
20.01.2024 Barwell Barwell 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
05.08.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury and Barwell shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Sudbury at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barwell led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.33 for Barwell.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Barwell?

AFC Sudbury 1-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 47%, draw 24%, Barwell 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Sudbury) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✓ BTTS Yes
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