Norrköping 4-2 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.33/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.13
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +54%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
460 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Örebro
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.37 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
481 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 3-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
02.05.2021 Örebro Örebro 0-3 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
30.08.2020 Örebro Örebro 4-3 HT 2-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
16.07.2020 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
21.09.2019 Norrköping Norrköping 3-0 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
16.05.2019 Örebro Örebro 1-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
4-2
AWAY Örebro
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping got the better of Örebro 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Norrköping as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Norrköping had 48% of the ball to Örebro's 52%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Norrköping and 0.83 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Örebro?

Norrköping 4-2 Örebro in the Sweden - Cup on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 45%, draw 27%, Örebro 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norrköping) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norrköping) ✗ Under 2.5
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