Ourense CF 2-1 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.49
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.5pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.01/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.90
-13% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
2-1
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF nicked a narrow win over Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Ourense CF made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ourense CF had 42% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 58%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Ourense CF 2-1 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 35%, draw 29%, Gimnastic Tarragona 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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