Sestao River 1-0 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.51/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.73
-6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amorebieta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2024 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-0 HT 1-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
1-0
AWAY Amorebieta
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River nicked a narrow win over Amorebieta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sestao River as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sestao River had 47% of the ball to Amorebieta's 53%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Amorebieta?

Sestao River 1-0 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 49%, draw 29%, Amorebieta 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestao River), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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