Bellinzona 0-0 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 22 Feb 2025

Bellinzona
0-0 HT 0-0
Etoile Carouge
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 23% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bellinzona v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.43/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.55
-10% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.0 Crosses 12.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.85 xG 2.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
276 Passes 483
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.11.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-2 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
03.08.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
06.03.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 4-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
11.09.2021 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-4 HT 1-3 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
19.09.2020 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-3 HT 0-3 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y

Bellinzona 0-0 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-0
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.16 xG 0.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
308 Passes 389
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona and Etoile Carouge played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 46% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 54%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.16 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bellinzona had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Bellinzona and 1.80 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge?

Bellinzona 0-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 40%, draw 31%, Etoile Carouge 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bellinzona), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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