Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Etoile Carouge v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Etoile Carouge
İSV1Y
2-4
HT 1-3
Bellinzona
İSV1Y
1-3
HT 0-3
Etoile Carouge
İSV1Y
Etoile Carouge 2-2 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics
Etoile Carouge and Bellinzona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Etoile Carouge had 62% of the ball to Bellinzona's 38%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.34 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bellinzona led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Etoile Carouge and 2.50 for Bellinzona.
What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?
Etoile Carouge 2-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 42%, draw 31%, Bellinzona 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.