Karlsruher SC 3-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2025

Karlsruher SC
3-1 HT 1-1
Magdeburg
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Karlsruher SC vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.51
Over 2.5
68%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.42
2-3 Goals
34%
2.0
4-5 Goals
32%
2.56
6+ Goals
18%
5.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.07
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.35
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
10%
6.9
X/2
14%
5.63
X/X
8%
5.91
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
23%
2.98
2/X
6%
11.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.35 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
36%
-4.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
64%
+4.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.2pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karlsruher SC v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.71/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.00
+21% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
24.0 Crosses 16.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Karlsruher SC vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Magdeburg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.94 xG 1.61
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
235 Passes 485
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-2 HT 1-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
17.03.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 7-0 HT 4-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
07.10.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
05.02.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
24.07.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-3 HT 0-3 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.01.2019 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-3 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg HAZ

Karlsruher SC 3-1 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
3-1
AWAY Magdeburg
1.21 xG 2.04
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
248 Passes 412
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC saw off Magdeburg 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Magdeburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 41% of the ball to Magdeburg's 59%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.21 to 2.04 — on chances, Magdeburg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.67 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Magdeburg?

Karlsruher SC 3-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 34%, draw 21%, Magdeburg 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Magdeburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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