Hannover 96 1-1 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.94
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
11%
6.99
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
15%
4.82
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.68/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.40
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.2 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Paderborn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.81 xG 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
273 Passes 401
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 2-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
05.05.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-2 HT 3-2 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.12.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
11.02.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-4 HT 2-2 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
09.12.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 HAZ
06.08.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 4-2 HT 1-2 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-1
AWAY Paderborn
0.71 xG 1.59
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
178 Passes 453
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 and Paderborn shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 33% of the ball to Paderborn's 67%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.71 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hannover 96 and 2.33 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Paderborn?

Hannover 96 1-1 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 39%, draw 26%, Paderborn 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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