Magdeburg 2-2 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Sep 2024

Magdeburg
2-2 HT 1-2
Karlsruher SC
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.61
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.39
No
53%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
6.02
2-3 Goals
42%
2.07
4-5 Goals
23%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
5.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.02 — our 25% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
10%
23.6
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
10%
6.0
X/2
13%
6.1
X/X
10%
5.98
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
16%
3.4
2/X
9%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.8pp
53%
BTTS No
32%
+20.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.31/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.39
-34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
14.8 Crosses 21.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.53 xG 2.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
490 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 7-0 HT 4-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
07.10.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
05.02.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
24.07.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-3 HT 0-3 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.01.2019 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-3 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg HAZ
07.04.2018 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL3

Magdeburg 2-2 Karlsruher SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
2-2
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.91 xG 0.96
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
464 Passes 231
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Magdeburg had 62% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 38%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Magdeburg and 1.83 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?

Magdeburg 2-2 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 36%, draw 26%, Karlsruher SC 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Karlsruher SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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