Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Sep 2024

Jahn Regensburg
0-3 HT 0-1
Preussen Münster
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Jahn Regensburg vs Preussen Münster Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
15%
11.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
9%
5.08
X/2
12%
6.42
X/X
9%
4.9
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
18%
4.3
2/X
10%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Preussen Münster — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Jahn Regensburg vs Preussen Münster Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-3 HT 0-3 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
28.10.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
20.05.2017 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
17.12.2016 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
07.03.2015 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
13.09.2014 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3

Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Preussen Münster — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0-3
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.61 xG 2.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
271 Passes 195
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster ran out comfortable winners over Jahn Regensburg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Preussen Münster found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 56% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 44%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.61 to 2.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.17 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Preussen Münster?

Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 36%, draw 26%, Preussen Münster 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preussen Münster), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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