Almagro 0-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.37
-24% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.10.2024 Almagro Almagro 0-3 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
02.06.2024 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro nicked a narrow win over Almagro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Y Tiro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Almagro and 2.00 for Gimnasia Y Tiro.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Almagro 0-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almagro 30%, draw 33%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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