19/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
34%
Draw
31%
38%
Away Win
39%
74%
Under 2.5
70%
26%
Over 2.5
30%
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
66%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almagro v Gimnasia Y Tiro — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Almagro
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gimnasia Y Tiro
EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-27%
/
+7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
249 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
365 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.6
Yellow Cards
–
Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Almagro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gimnasia Y Tiro cruised past Almagro 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (74%) missed.
What was the final score of Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Almagro 0-3 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almagro 28%, draw 34%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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19 Oct 2024