Almagro 0-3 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.7pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+4.1pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-4.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.9pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.06.2024 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro cruised past Almagro 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (74%) missed.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Almagro 0-3 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almagro 28%, draw 34%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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