Alvarado 0-2 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.12
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
40%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
43%
-16.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
25%
+14.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.9pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +30%
1.32/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.59
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +93%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
02.06.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
03.09.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
25.04.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
14.03.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
13.03.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
25.07.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 2-0 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman beat Alvarado 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 32% / 40% — and on the day San Martin Tucuman made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvarado had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alvarado and 1.00 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs San Martin Tucuman?

Alvarado 0-2 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 27%, draw 32%, San Martin Tucuman 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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