San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.6
No
70%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.9pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.9pp
30%
BTTS Yes
34%
-4.4pp
70%
BTTS No
66%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.38/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.54
+1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alvarado
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
03.09.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
25.04.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
14.03.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
13.03.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
25.07.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 2-0 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
15.03.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman edged past Alvarado 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Martin Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvarado led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 1.50 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Alvarado?

San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 54%, draw 30%, Alvarado 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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