Ferro Carril Oeste 0-2 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Oct 2024

Ferro Carril Oeste
0-2 HT 0-1
Quilmes
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ferro Carril Oeste v Quilmes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.89
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Quilmes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
03.06.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 1-4 HT 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
25.06.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.02.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-3 HT 2-2 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
01.03.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 2-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
14.12.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
07.12.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes got the better of Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.50 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes?

Ferro Carril Oeste 0-2 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 43%, draw 31%, Quilmes 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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