Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.6pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.27/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.39
-5% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
01.06.2024 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
18.09.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes nicked a narrow win over Chacarita Juniors 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Atletico Guemes as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chacarita Juniors led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 1.50 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Chacarita Juniors?

Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 55%, draw 25%, Chacarita Juniors 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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