Almirante Brown 1-1 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.4pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.06/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.60
-14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Defensores Unidos
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
27.10.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
09.06.2024 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
09.07.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
05.03.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown and Defensores Unidos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Almirante Brown at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Almirante Brown and 0.25 for Defensores Unidos.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Defensores Unidos?

Almirante Brown 1-1 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almirante Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 42%, draw 25%, Defensores Unidos 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Almirante Brown), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almirante Brown) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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