FC Liefering 4-1 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.66
6+ Goals
11%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.44
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
11%
8.02
X/X
6%
6.01
2/1
7%
20.15
2/2
10%
5.4
2/X
11%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.50/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.08
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.7 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lafnitz
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.88 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 Passes 268
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 4-5 HT 1-4 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
25.11.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-6 HT 0-4 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
19.05.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 0-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
15.10.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
18.04.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
02.10.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering swept aside Lafnitz 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Liefering had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for FC Liefering and 1.33 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Lafnitz?

FC Liefering 4-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 49%, draw 24%, Lafnitz 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
22 Feb 2025
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