Sturm Graz II 1-0 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.22
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.7
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.67
X/2
12%
6.33
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
18%
3.8
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.39/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.99
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 17.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rapid Wien II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 4-2 HT 3-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.04.2023 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-4 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.08.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
1-0
AWAY Rapid Wien II
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II edged past Rapid Wien II 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 46% of the ball to Rapid Wien II's 54%, shots finished 9-20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sturm Graz II and 1.67 for Rapid Wien II.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?

Sturm Graz II 1-0 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 35%, draw 24%, Rapid Wien II 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
22 Feb 2025
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