Austria Klagenfurt 4-2 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.76
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
3%
12.95
X/1
16%
5.49
X/2
15%
5.79
X/X
19%
4.14
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.09
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.65/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.25
+33% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.90 xG 1.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
255 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
19.11.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK HAZ
18.04.2021 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 3-0 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
06.11.2020 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AU2
23.06.2020 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-2 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
20.09.2019 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-2 HT 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
4-2
AWAY Grazer AK
2.87 xG 0.78
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
393 Passes 215
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt got the better of Grazer AK 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Austria Klagenfurt made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 61% of the ball to Grazer AK's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.87 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 0.83 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Grazer AK?

Austria Klagenfurt 4-2 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 33%, draw 31%, Grazer AK 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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