Swarovski Tirol 3-3 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.41
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
11%
6.97
X/2
13%
4.66
X/X
16%
4.29
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.92
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.24/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.26
+21% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
16.6 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.06 xG 2.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-3 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
18.05.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 3-1 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
16.03.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
17.02.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 4-1 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.09.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
27.05.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-0 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
3-3
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
2.41 xG 2.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
382 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol and Wolfsberger AC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsberger AC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 56% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 44%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 2.41 to 2.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsberger AC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 2.33 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC?

Swarovski Tirol 3-3 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 27%, draw 28%, Wolfsberger AC 46%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025
19:00 Austria Wien vs Salzburg Analysis →
19:00 Austria Klagenfurt vs Grazer AK Analysis →