Westerlo 1-3 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.67
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
9%
5.93
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
15%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.63
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -18%
1.76/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.35
+46% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.8 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.37 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
387 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
25.11.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.04.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
17.09.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-3 HT 1-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.02.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-3
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.16 xG 2.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
300 Passes 468
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 47
15 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi got the better of Westerlo 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Sporting Charleroi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Westerlo had 40% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 60%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.16 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Westerlo and 1.83 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?

Westerlo 1-3 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 37%, draw 29%, Sporting Charleroi 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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