Ilves Tampere 4-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.5
6+ Goals
9%
5.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.37 — our 24% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.2pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 15%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.01/3.00
-54% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Jaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
16.08.2015 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
16.06.2015 Jaro Jaro 3-0 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
29.04.2015 Jaro Jaro 3-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
4-0
AWAY Jaro
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere swept aside Jaro 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 67% of the ball to Jaro's 33%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ilves Tampere and 2.00 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Jaro?

Ilves Tampere 4-0 Jaro in the Finland - League Cup on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 55%, draw 22%, Jaro 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FLK More Finland - League Cup
22 Feb 2025
00:00 IFK Mariehamn vs KTP Kotka Analysis →
15:30 SJK Seinajoki vs VPS Analysis →
16:00 KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu Analysis →