KuPS Kuopio 2-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
11%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.4pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.86/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.31
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +65%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
465 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.69 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
480 Passes 330
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
08.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
24.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
07.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
09.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
04.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2-1
AWAY Oulu
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio nicked a narrow win over Oulu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 49% of the ball to Oulu's 51%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.67 for Oulu.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

KuPS Kuopio 2-1 Oulu in the Finland - League Cup on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 60%, draw 21%, Oulu 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5
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