Oulu 1-0 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.96
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
7%
7.69
X/2
11%
4.25
X/X
16%
4.54
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.6
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-3.2pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.8pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 51%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
0.89/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.80
-20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 83%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
13.2 Crosses 22.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.55 xG 2.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
364 Passes 446
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
24.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
07.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
09.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
04.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
22.06.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-0
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.32 xG 0.36
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
227 Passes 580
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 13
6 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu squeezed past KuPS Kuopio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Oulu had 32% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 68%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.32 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oulu and 2.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?

Oulu 1-0 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oulu 23%, draw 34%, KuPS Kuopio 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
28 Jun 2024
18:00 Inter Turku vs VPS Analysis →