Inter Turku 3-1 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.7
No
59%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 34% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.18
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.93
X/2
18%
6.14
X/X
16%
4.76
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.32
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+9.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
55%
-13.7pp
59%
BTTS No
45%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +33%
1.81/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.03
+0% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.6 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
0W-2D-4L
AWAY VPS
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.42 xG 2.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
323 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 VPS VPS 3-1 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
29.09.2023 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
12.07.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
01.07.2023 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
19.10.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-5 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
13.08.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-1
AWAY VPS
2.24 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
321 Passes 323
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku got the better of VPS 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was VPS at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Turku had 50% of the ball to VPS's 50%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.24 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Inter Turku and 2.50 for VPS.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs VPS?

Inter Turku 3-1 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 32%, draw 27%, VPS 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
28 Jun 2024
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