Punjab FC 1-3 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.39/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
-5% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.7 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY East Bengal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.70 xG 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 4-2 HT 0-2 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
10.04.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 4-1 HT 2-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
09.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
1-3
AWAY East Bengal
0.89 xG 1.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
317 Passes 194
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal beat Punjab FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Punjab FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Punjab FC had 60% of the ball to East Bengal's 40%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.89 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Punjab FC and 1.67 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs East Bengal?

Punjab FC 1-3 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 43%, draw 26%, East Bengal 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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HİNSL More India - Super League
22 Feb 2025
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