JEF United 2-0 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Feb 2025

JEF United
2-0 HT 1-0
Kataller Toyama
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Japan - J2 League – 2025

JEF United vs Kataller Toyama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
14%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 27% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JEF United v Kataller Toyama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.99/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.89
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.1 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

JEF United vs Kataller Toyama Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
The Meetings
15.11.2014 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
20.04.2014 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2

JEF United 2-0 Kataller Toyama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
2-0
AWAY Kataller Toyama
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
451 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United got the better of Kataller Toyama 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, JEF United had 57% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 43%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JEF United and 1.00 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Kataller Toyama?

JEF United 2-0 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J2 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split JEF United 55%, draw 21%, Kataller Toyama 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
22 Feb 2025
08:00 Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →
08:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →