Omiya Ardija 1-0 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.36/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.44
-13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
217 Passes 550
0 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-2 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
27.05.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 5-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
10.09.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-3 HT 0-2 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
09.04.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-3 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
18.09.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
06.03.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-2 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-0
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 8
276 Passes 349
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija edged past Ventforet Kofu 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 46% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 54%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Omiya Ardija and 2.17 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?

Omiya Ardija 1-0 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 41%, draw 28%, Ventforet Kofu 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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