Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jubilo Iwata v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Jubilo Iwata
JLK
1-2
HT 0-1
Sagan Tosu
JLK
2-0
HT 1-0
Jubilo Iwata
JAP
3-1
HT 3-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics
Jubilo Iwata nicked a narrow win over Sagan Tosu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jubilo Iwata as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 65% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 35%, shots finished 7-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.83 for Sagan Tosu.
What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 45%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.